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KKR & Co. Inc. Announces Second Quarter 2024 Earnings

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This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements pertaining to KKR & Co. Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries (collectively “KKR”), including certain investment funds, vehicles and accounts that are managed by KKR (each, a “fund”). Forward-looking statements relate to expectations, beliefs, projections, future plans and strategies, anticipated events or trends and similar expressions concerning matters that are not historical facts. The forward-looking statements are based on KKR’s beliefs, assumptions and expectations of its future performance, taking into account all information currently available to it. These beliefs, assumptions and expectations can change as a result of many possible events or factors, not all of which are known to KKR or are within its control. If a change occurs, KKR’s business, financial condition, liquidity and results of operations, including but not limited to, assets under management, fee paying assets under management, after-tax distributable earnings, capital invested, syndicated capital, uncalled commitments, cash and short-term investments, fee related earnings, fee and yield segment EBITDA, core interest expense and book value, may vary materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements. The following factors, among others, could cause actual results to vary from the forward-looking statements: whether KKR realizes all or any of the anticipated benefits from converting to a corporation and the timing of realizing such benefits; whether there are increased or unforeseen costs associated with the conversion, including any adverse change in tax law; the volatility of the capital markets; the general volatility of the capital markets; failure to realize the benefits of or changes in KKR’s business strategies including the ability to realize the anticipated synergies from acquisitions or strategic partnerships or other transactions; availability, terms and deployment of capital; availability of qualified personnel and expense of recruiting and retaining such personnel; changes in the asset management industry, interest rates or the general economy; underperformance of KKR's investments and decreased ability to raise funds; and the degree and nature of KKR’s competition. All forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made. KKR does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect circumstances or events that occur after the date on which such statements were made except as required by law. In addition, KKR’s business strategy is focused on the long-term and financial results are subject to significant volatility. Additional information about factors affecting KKR, including a description of risks that may be important to a decision to purchase or sell any common or preferred stock of KKR & Co. Inc., can be found in KKR & Co. Inc.’s Annual Report on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and its other filings with the SEC, which are available at www.sec.gov.

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Nearly 1 in 10 Businesses to Spend Over $25 Million on AI Initiatives in 2024, Searce Report Finds

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A new report has found that 8% of U.K. and and 7% of U.S. decision-makers plan to spend over $25 million (£19.5 million) on AI initiatives this year. This comes after many investors voiced their concerns about the technology’s capabilities and their potential return on investment.

According to the 2024 State of AI report from technology consultancy Searce, a quarter of decision-makers said their organisations were set to spend between $11 million (£8.5 million) and $25 million (£19.5 million) on AI in 2024.

The top reason for making these investments was to drive new business growth, as cited by 31% of U.K. and 35% of U.S. respondents, and this seems to be coming to fruition from their perspective.

Over 90% of U.K. decision-makers surveyed view their AI initiatives as “successful” and nearly a third plan to boost their AI spending by up to 50%. Another 8% said they would see investments increase by up to 100% or more.

The findings are based on a survey of 300 C-suite and senior technology executives at organisations with at least $500 million (£390 million) in revenue conducted in June and July of this year.

The report states that 70% of business decision-makers already have at least three generative AI use cases up and running as a result of their investments. These include tools for customer service, internal research, content generation, marketing and sales, coding, data analysis, and capture.

SEE: Generative AI: UK Business Leaders Face Investment Challenges as Everyone Claims to Be an Expert

However, while 51% of respondents deem their investments “very successful,” just 42% said they were “somewhat successful.”

“The disparity between highly and somewhat successful initiatives suggests a maturity gap in AI implementation,” the report’s authors wrote.

“This presents an opportunity for organizations to focus on talent development, data quality, and robust evaluation metrics to enhance their AI capabilities and achieve greater returns on investment.

Paul Pallath, VP of applied AI at Searce, said in the report, “With AI, organizations frequently focus on short-term, low-hanging fruit, which results in substantial technology and process debt that becomes costly to manage as the organization grows.”

The authors added, “To truly generate ROI , organizations need to move away from blindly investing in these initiatives and hoping for the best, and instead embrace an outcome-centric approach underpinned by proper governance, measurable frameworks and change management processes.”

UK business leaders are concerned about lack of AI talent to support their investments

Respondents were asked about the challenges to AI adoption that most concern them. For U.K. decision-makers, this was the lack of qualified talent, cited by 19%.

The level of “ skills-shortage vacancies ,” where a job cannot be filled due to a lack of skills, qualifications, or experience among applicants, is very high in the information and communications sector in the U.K. The figure climbed from an already high 25% in 2017 to 43% in 2022, the last year for which data is available.

A recent report also found that the U.K. is the 25th most technically proficient country in Europe , sitting well behind other digital leaders in the region like Germany, France, and Spain.

SEE: Crucial Skills Gaps in the UK Include AI and Strategic Thinking, According to Red Hat

The U.K. government has noted the country’s digital skills shortage and has made a series of key investments in the past year or so to try and address it. In November 2023, more than £200 million was announced to support colleges and universities to offer more training opportunities in industries, including digital .

This March, Science Secretary Michelle Donelan unveiled another package of more than £1.1 billion to fund 4,000 doctorates in engineering and physical sciences.

Microsoft has also made significant investments in bridging the U.K.’s digital skills gap. In December 2023, the tech giant announced a “multimillion pound investment” to provide AI skills training to more than one million people.

US business leaders are apprehensive about the privacy and security of their AI data

The biggest barrier for AI adoption was different for U.S. decision-makers, according to the Searce study, as 20% of respondents said it was data privacy and security. This is linked to apprehension about safeguarding sensitive information , ever-changing regulations , and maintaining client trust .

“This skepticism may stem from high-profile failures or overhyped expectations not being met, leading to caution in AI investments,” the authors wrote. Such high-profile failures may include DPD’s chatbot swearing at customers , Microsoft’s trolling Twitter bot , and Google’s Bard (now Gemini) model answering a question wrong as it was unveiled , wiping $100 billion off Alphabet’s shares.

There is also tangible evidence that AI capabilities are overhyped . A recent Stanford study found that AI is still not as good as humans at the complex tasks of advanced-level mathematical problem solving, visual commonsense reasoning, and planning.

A 2022 report from Deloitte saw the percentage of organisations in the AI “underachiever” category — high deployment/low outcomes — rise from 17% to 22% in a year, suggesting outcomes are lagging.

SEE: Data Scientist Survey: Do Tech Leaders Believe the AI Hype?

Investors are concerned about AI ROI — and businesses should be too

Julian Mulhare, EMEA managing director at Searce, said in the report’s press release, “As global investments in AI continue to rise, as our research has found, it is crucial for businesses to focus not just on spending, but on the tangible returns these investments can deliver.”

This point has been emphasised by investors revealing their concerns about when, or if, the huge cash injections into tech companies developing AI models are going to pay off.

Jim Covello, a Goldman Sachs stock analyst, wrote in a June report , “Despite its expensive price tag, the technology is nowhere near where it needs to be in order to be useful … Over-building things the world doesn’t have use for, or is not ready for, typically ends badly.”

Sequoia Capital partner David Cahn argued in a blog post that the AI industry would have to generate a whopping $600 billion a year to pay for its hardware spend.

SEE: New UK Tech Startups See First Decline Since 2022, Down 11% This Quarter

According to S&P Global , combined capital spending for Microsoft, Alphabet, and Meta has increased 60% year-over-year as a result of AI investments. Alphabet alone spent $13 billion in the second quarter , 91% more than Q2 2023, putting pressure on profit margins.

But Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg remarked during the Second Quarter 2024 Results Conference Call that he expects it will be “years” before the company monetises its AI products. Less-than-reassuring comments like this from Zuckerberg played a part in shares in the “Magnificent Seven” U.S. tech companies — NVIDIA, Meta, Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, Tesla, and Apple — losing a combined $1.3 trillion over five days in early August.

Furthermore, while business leaders may be excited about the prospect of boosted internal efficiency thanks to AI, consumers do not necessarily share this optimism. A new study from Washington State University found that the presence of the term “artificial intelligence” in a product description actually “decreases purchase intention.”

This is largely due to a lack of trust in AI’s capabilities and the perceived risk associated with elements like loss of control and privacy. Businesses, therefore, should be aware of the ROI of applying AI to their products as well as internal deployment.

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Watch CBS News

4 reasons the stock market is plunging — and what experts say you should do

By Aimee Picchi

Edited By Alain Sherter

Updated on: August 5, 2024 / 5:33 PM EDT / CBS News

A swift and sudden downdraft in global stocks is raising concern among ordinary investors about the impact on their portfolios and 401(k) plans.

The S&P 500 slid 160 points, or 3%, to 5,186 on Monday, the index's biggest one-day drop in nearly two years, according to FactSet. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite sank 3.4% as investors fled some of the tech giants that until recently had powered the U.S. market higher, with Apple shedding 4.8% and Nvidia falling 6.4%.

Notably, the slump follows what had been a bullish year, with the stock market reaching record highs that bolstered the retirement accounts of millions of U.S. workers. The whiplash may have some 401(k) savers questioning what's behind the reversal, especially after the U.S. economy had appeared to be on solid footing, with steady growth and cooling inflation, thanks to the Federal Reserve's flurry of interest rate hikes.

Here are four reasons why experts say the stock market is tumbling, along with their advice on what investors should do.

The Fed might have waited too long to cut interest rates

A range of signals in recent months suggest the economy is losing speed, leading some experts to urge the Federal Reserve to lower its benchmark interest rate for the first time since 2020. For now, however, the central bank has left rates unchanged, including more at its policy meeting last week . 

Investors now fret that the Fed may have waited too long to ease borrowing costs for consumers and businesses, raising the risks of a recession. 

"The real issue here is investors are worried the Fed is behind the curve in cutting interest rates, and that means there could be a bigger risk of a policy error," Amanda Agati, chief investment officer of PNC's asset management group, told CBS MoneyWatch. "The fear is that we might ultimately tip into a recession, versus that prior expectation for a soft landing."

Economic data points to U.S. slowdown

Stocks have soared into record terrain this year, propelled by expectations the Fed would soon trim interest rates for the first time since 2020 and by the ongoing artificial intelligence boom. 

But market sentiment began to shift in mid-July as a growing number of economic signals pointed to a slowdown in growth. Those concerns intensified on August 2 after data showed a dip in manufacturing and construction, while a weaker-than-expected employment report added to Wall Street's fears about the economy running out of steam. 

Potentially more worrisome is that consumer spending — which accounts for roughly two-thirds of economic activity — is showing signs of weakness. Companies such as McDonald's and Walmart are reporting that their customers are cutting back amid the strain of still-elevated inflation and high borrowing costs. 

Still, some experts caution that such data points might turn out to be a blip, rather than a trend.

"Without stating the obvious, one month does not make a trend, so next month's jobs report will be very important," said Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Asset Management, in an email. "It's worth pointing out that the April 2024 payroll number was initially 165,000 and then was revised down to 108,000 before rebounding to 216,000 the following month."

Tech stocks are a victim of high expectations

Some of the worst-hit stocks during the rout can be found in the tech sector, with the so-called Magnificent Seven, a group of tech stocks including Amazon, Apple and Nvidia, among the market's worst performers on Monday. Nvidia, the chip company whose technology powers artificial intelligence , has shed 23% of its value since July 31. 

Prior to last week, these stocks had been among the year's best performers, which meant that Wall Street had lofty expectations for their revenue and profit growth. And while their earnings reports have been solid so far this year, they haven't wowed investors.

"Even if earnings come in as expected, the valuation multiples are so high that it's hard to sustain" those prices, PNC's Agati said. "Investors are panicking, and this is a really rapid sentiment shift."

She added, "We don't think the underlying fundamentals support this shift. For the most part, the Magnificent Seven have been fine in terms of earnings results."

Japan's interest rate hike

Professional investors also pointed to the impact of the Bank of Japan's move last week to raise its main interest rate from nearly zero.

This boosted the value of the Japanese yen. But it has also forced traders to unwind investments in which they had borrowed money in Japan at near-zero interest rates and then converted the yen into dollars, which they then used to buy U.S. stocks. In other words, traders have had to sell assets to cover their trades, which could be feeding into the stock market declines, experts said.

"This 'carry trade' has been unraveling in recent weeks and might have crescendoed on Friday," according to Yardeni Research. 

What should investors do?

First it's important to understand that stock downturns — even sharp ones — are common. Although the S&P 500 is down roughly 8% from its peak in July, drops in equity prices of 5% or more have occurred at least once a year for the past four decades, according to Oxford Economics. Market corrections, or a drop of at least 10% from their highs, occur an average of every one and half to two years, the firm said in a report. 

But even bear markets, or when stocks decline at least 20% from their peak, are normal and aren't a reason to panic, experts say. While the temptation might be to sell, it's best to resist that urge, especially for people saving for the long-term such as for retirement. Market timing, or trying to buy and sell stocks to capture gains and avoid losses, is notoriously difficult and can lead to lost opportunities, research from Charles Schwab has found .

"If you are a long term investor, take a deep breath — it is very scary, I get it," Jill Schlesinger, the business analyst for CBS News, told the network. "As long as you are in a long-term portfolio, you shouldn't worry."

Moving into cash "is never a good investment," added PNC's Agati. That's especially the case when the Fed is widely expected to cut rates as early as September, which will reduce the returns for savings accounts and money market funds. 

"If you are worried about your retirement plan, I wouldn't be pulling the plug and moving to cash," Agati added, noting that he would look at investment-grade fixed income investments or U.S. Treasuries because they may provide more attractive yields moving forward.

• Stock Market

Aimee Picchi is the associate managing editor for CBS MoneyWatch, where she covers business and personal finance. She previously worked at Bloomberg News and has written for national news outlets including USA Today and Consumer Reports.

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'Don't panic': What to do when the stock market sinks like a stone

If you are one of those amateur investors who checks your 401(k) balance at every meal, today might be a good day to fast. 

Stocks had bad days Thursday and Friday. Monday looks to be worse. Global markets plunged overnight, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 index posting the worst one-day return in its history. The losses spread from Asia to Europe, and then to the United States, where the S&P 500 and Nasdaq opened sharply lower .  

Market reporters trotted out such terms as “rout,” “correction” and even “panic,” descriptors that invoke memories of the market’s darkest days, such as the brief COVID-19 crash of 2020 and the deeper, longer dive of the Great Recession of 2008. 

Though it's hard to stay calm as the stock market reels, amateur investors should at least try.

“My best advice is, don’t panic. Really, because you can’t,” said Catherine Valega , a certified financial planner in Boston. 

'Stocks are on sale today'

If anything, financial advisers say, this summer stock swoon would be a great time to buy. 

“Stocks are on sale today, right?” Valega said. “If you have some cash, let’s go put some money in the market.” 

But that can seem counterintuitive.

To an armchair investor, the dilemma is familiar and frustrating: We are instructed to buy low and sell high. When the stock market tumbles, your first impulse is to sell. But then you are selling low. 

The stock market “correction,” in dispassionate Wall Street parlance, unfolded swiftly and with seemingly little warning. 

Just last Wednesday, Federal Reserve chief Jerome Powell waved off an interest rate cut and assured the nation that the economy was doing pretty well.  

“It's just a question of seeing more good data,” he said. 

The rest of the week yielded mostly bad data.  

A surprisingly weak jobs report stoked fresh recession fears from forecasters. Toss in gloomy earnings reports from Amazon and Intel, and together, those tidings pushed stocks sharply lower on Friday.  

That news ricocheted around the globe, seeding Monday’s losses in Asia and Europe. Those losses, in turn, triggered more losses in the U.S. 

Market watchers urged consumers to keep a sense of perspective. As of late morning, the S&P 500 was higher than it was at moments in April and May, although that could quickly change.  

“Short-term market movement can be unpredictable, but over the long term, the trend is up,” said Erika Safran , a certified financial planner in New York. “The irony is that we rush to buy items on sale, but when it comes to investing, when prices drop, the instinct is to sell.” 

And we’re still talking about one bad jobs report. Right? 

A 'recipe for sudden volatility'

Well, maybe not. The job market was weakening before Friday’s alarming report. Powell cited cooling job data in his news conference Wednesday, listing it as one rationale for the Fed to begin cutting interest rates soon, perhaps in September.  

“While Friday’s employment report was disappointing, it wasn’t the only worrisome economic indicator, only the latest,” said Greg McBride , chief financial analyst at Bankrate, the personal finance site.  

Add in “the cacophony of earnings disappointments and weak corporate outlooks, global unrest and currency gyrations, and you have the recipe for sudden volatility,” he said. 

Just a week or two ago, most forecasters seemed to think the U.S. stood little risk of recession, a scenario that has hovered over the economy since inflation spiked to a 40-year high in mid-2022.  

But you probably will be hearing a lot more of the R-word in the days to come as the stock market rout prompts new wave of recession forecasts.

Not all the news is gloomy. In one update, released Monday by Wells Fargo Economics, chief economist Jay Bryson waxed upbeat, signaling that he expects economic growth to continue.  

“Although the risk of recession has risen,” he wrote, “it still does not exceed 50%, in our view.” 

Ironically, these uncertain times create financial opportunities for anyone with the time, interest and fortitude to seize them. Here are a few. 

Certificates of deposit 

Competitive interest rates are heating up the market for certificates of deposit . Some credit unions are offering to match or beat whatever rate you’re getting at your current financial institution.  

Now is an ideal time to grab a 5% or 6% interest rate on a CD, experts say: Once the Fed begins cutting the benchmark rate, CD rates are likely to fall.  

Bonds tend to provide a nice financial cushion when stocks sink, although the calamitous market events of 2022 prove that the rule doesn’t always hold.  

Investment advisers say 2024 is a good time to invest in bonds , given the climate of high interest rates and easing inflation. As a rule of thumb, experts encourage amateur investors to buy stocks and bonds at a roughly 60-40 ratio to maintain a balanced portfolio. 

“Bonds are more attractive now than they have been in more than a decade,” Theodore Haley , a certified financial planner in Beaverton, Oregon, said in an interview in July.  

Real estate 

Mortgage rates sank to their lowest level in more than a year after the weak jobs report. As of Monday, the average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage stands at 6.95%.  

For anyone waiting on the sidelines to buy a house, now might be a good time to enter the market. 

“Mortgage rates will drop again today. Homebuyers should start their horses,” Daryl Fairweather , chief economist at Redfin, posted Monday on X . 

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